UKIP overtake the LibDems

A ComRes poll for the Independent on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror shows that UKIP have overtaken the Liberal Democrats amongst those likely to vote, 8%/7% (page 7).

This is an historic occurrence that has been coming and should hopefully get some decent media attention, hopefully not based on how the LibDems are falling in popularity but also how UKIP are gaining. This is a UKIP surge, not an "others" surge. The Greens and BNP still sit on 4% between them.

Could this spell trouble for Nick Clegg?

Cameron the hero delivers what exactly?

It seems like David Cameron's veto has won over the newspapers and some Eurosceptic onlookers. On paper it is a PR coup: here a Prime Minister who has stood up to Merkel, Sarkozy and the EU's apparent drive towards full fiscal union.

But scratch the surface, think for a minute here. All Cameron has achieved is stopped Britain getting further sucked in to full fiscal union brought on by the Euro crisis. His stated aim during election time was to repatriate powers, to reverse the EU's dominance over Britain.

Indeed the whole situation exposes something very interesting. EU leaders had no interest in Cameron's demands on the City of London, yet this is the man who claims that the EU is reformable. Can you imagine the reception if a British Prime Minister ever asks that the UK can take back control of its fishing waters or borders from the EU's hands? It shows just how untenable and unrealistic the reformist approach is.

And that reformist approach is still what David Cameron believes in. He still believes that we should hand the EU £50 million per day to be dictated to and controlled in a structure that patently isn't open to reform or shaping into the type of relationship that the British really want.

While David Cameron is drawing some plaudits, lets see if he actually repatriates anything rather than just holding the line. I'm extremely doubtful of that.